Abstract

Lung cancer screening guidelines were introduced in the United States in 2013, with variable implementation. This study aimed to evaluate temporal diagnostic trends in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) diagnosis since the introduction of these guidelines. This retrospective cohort analysis used the VA Corporate Data Warehouse and the National Cancer Database. We evaluated temporal trends in the distribution of NSCLC stage at the time of diagnosis, including differences based on insurance coverage type (including uninsured, privately insured, Medicare, Medicaid, and VA coverage) with adjustment for clinically relevant variables. Among 1,450,965 patients diagnosed from 2006-2020, the proportion of NSCLC cases diagnosed at Stage I increased in all insurance groups (by 12.74%, 2%, 0.25%, and 2.57% for the VA, Medicare, Private Insurance, and Medicaid, respectively). If all insurance systems achieved the unadjusted stage distribution seen in the Veterans Health Administration, an additional 45,684 patients would be diagnosed with Stage I NSCLC and 65,933 fewer patients would be diagnosed with stage IV disease. For patients with any form of insurance, there has been an increase in the proportion of early-stage NSCLC (Stage I and II) and a corresponding decrease in the proportion of Stage III and IV since the introduction of national lung cancer screening guidelines. As the largest integrated "single-payer" healthcare system in the US, the VA dramatically outperforms other insurance types, perhaps attributable to universal coverage and robust lung cancer screening programs.

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