Early warning from seismic ionospheric anomaly of the 24 May 2014, Mw = 6.4 Aegean-Sea earthquake: two-dimensional principal component analysis (2DPCA)

Abstract

Two-dimensional principal component analysis (2DPCA) has been used to determine ionospheric two-dimensional total electron content (TEC) anomaly after Aegean-Sea earthquake at 09:25:03(UT) on 24 May, 2014 (Mw = 6.4). The TEC anomaly was more intense localized at 09:30 to 9:35 (UT) post the earthquake. Potential reason of the TEC anomaly, which might be a anomalous fluctuation e.g., electron density variation, is rising high speed acoustic shock wave with the speed of at least 1818.18 Km/h. m/s resulted by the mainshock of the earthquake. The duration time of the TEC anomaly was at least 5minutes. The anomalous fluctuation could be an early warning for the regions far from the epicenter when it began to propagate because the tsunami arrived at the far regions very slower than anomalous fluctuation if the tsunami was caused by earthquake with epicenter in the sea.