Abstract

BackgroundThe increased male prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be mirrored by the early emergence of sex differences in ASD symptoms and cognitive functioning. The female protective effect hypothesis posits that ASD recurrence and symptoms will be higher among relatives of female probands. This study examined sex differences and sex of proband differences in ASD outcome and in the development of ASD symptoms and cognitive functioning among the high-risk younger siblings of ASD probands and low-risk children.MethodsPrior to 18 months of age, 1824 infants (1241 high-risk siblings, 583 low-risk) from 15 sites were recruited. Hierarchical generalized linear model (HGLM) analyses of younger sibling and proband sex differences in ASD recurrence among high-risk siblings were followed by HGLM analyses of sex differences and group differences (high-risk ASD, high-risk non-ASD, and low-risk) on the Mullen Scales of Early Learning (MSEL) subscales (Expressive and Receptive Language, Fine Motor, and Visual Reception) at 18, 24, and 36 months and Autism Diagnostic Observation Schedule (ADOS) domain scores (social affect (SA) and restricted and repetitive behaviors (RRB)) at 24 and 36 months.ResultsOf 1241 high-risk siblings, 252 had ASD outcomes. Male recurrence was 26.7 % and female recurrence 10.3 %, with a 3.18 odds ratio. The HR-ASD group had lower MSEL subscale scores and higher RRB and SA scores than the HR non-ASD group, which had lower MSEL subscale scores and higher RRB scores than the LR group. Regardless of group, males obtained lower MSEL subscale scores, and higher ADOS RRB scores, than females. There were, however, no significant interactions between sex and group on either the MSEL or ADOS. Proband sex did not affect ASD outcome, MSEL subscale, or ADOS domain scores.ConclusionsA 3.2:1 male:female odds ratio emerged among a large sample of prospectively followed high-risk siblings. Sex differences in cognitive performance and repetitive behaviors were apparent not only in high-risk children with ASD, but also in high-risk children without ASD and in low-risk children. Sex differences in young children with ASD do not appear to be ASD-specific but instead reflect typically occurring sex differences seen in children without ASD. Results did not support a female protective effect hypothesis.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13229-015-0027-y) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Highlights

  • The increased male prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be mirrored by the early emergence of sex differences in ASD symptoms and cognitive functioning

  • These data afford a test of the female protective effect hypothesis, which proposes that the younger siblings of female probands will have higher odds of ASD recurrence and higher levels of ASD symptoms than the siblings of male probands

  • We examined proband sex and other demographic variables to determine whether they were associated with recurrence rates

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Summary

Introduction

The increased male prevalence of autism spectrum disorder (ASD) may be mirrored by the early emergence of sex differences in ASD symptoms and cognitive functioning. We report on a large-scale prospective investigation of the high-risk younger siblings of ASD probands (and lowrisk comparison children) to both address differential ASD occurrence and to characterize potential sex differences in the early ASD phenotype. These data afford a test of the female protective effect hypothesis, which proposes that the younger siblings of female probands will have higher odds of ASD recurrence and higher levels of ASD symptoms than the siblings of male probands. Variable male:female ratios in prospectively followed highrisk sibling samples (2.8:1 [10] and 1.65:1 [11]) suggest the importance of large-scale characterization of the risk of ASD among high-risk siblings

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