Early Prediction of Student’s Performance

Abstract

Abstract: Performance degradation assessment (PDA) is of great significance to ensure safety and availability of mechanical equipment. As an important issue of PDA, the robustness of the trained model directly affects the assessment efficiency and restricts its application in practice. This paper proposes a robust modeling approach based on Student's t-hidden Markov model (Student's t-HMM) and nuisance attribute projection (NAP). NAP can remove nuisance attributes caused by individual differences from the feature space. Student's t-HMM utilizes the finite Student's t-mixture models (SMMs) to describe the observation emission densities associated with each hidden state, which can be more tolerant towards outliers than conventional HMMs. Based on these two techniques, the proposed method is supposed to be more robust and can assess the performance degradation process of new objects based on data of tested objects.