Early prediction of clinical outcomes in resected stage II and III colorectal cancer (CRC) through deep sequencing of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA).

Abstract

3591 Background: Adjuvant chemotherapy is offered to most pts with Stage III CRC, and to a subset with Stage II disease deemed at high-risk for recurrence. Nevertheless, risk stratification strategies remain suboptimal. Detection of minimal residual disease (MRD) through ctDNA analysis has been shown to identify pts at high recurrence risk in Stage II CRC, but not Stage III disease. Methods: The next-generation sequencing based AVENIO ctDNA Surveillance Kit (Research Use Only) was used to identify single nucleotide variants (SNVs) in tumor tissue within a cohort of 145 Stage II and III CRC pts following R0 surgical resection (n = 86 and 59 respectively; median follow-up = 32.1 mo). The same assay was used to monitor ctDNA with a single post-operative blood sample (mean surgery-to-phlebotomy time: 10 days). Regions from 197 genes recurrently mutated in CRC were interrogated, and pts were classified as ctDNA positive (+) or negative (-) in plasma based on the detection of SNVs previously identified in tumor tissue. Results: Variants were identified in 99% of tumors (n = 144) with a median of 4 SNVs/sample (range 1-24) and all post-operative plasma samples were successfully profiled. Pts with detectable ctDNA (n = 12) displayed a significantly shorter 2-year relapse-free survival (RFS; 17% vs 88%; HR 10.3; 95% CI 2.3-46.9; p < 0.00001), time to recurrence (TTR; HR 20.6; 95% CI 3.1-139.0; p < 0.00001) and overall survival (OS; HR 3.4; 95% CI 0.5-25.8; p = 0.041) than ctDNA- pts (n = 132). 11 (92%) of ctDNA+ pts developed recurrence compared to 9 (7%) of ctDNA- pts. Monitoring multiple variants doubled sensitivity of MRD detection compared to tracking a single driver mutation. TTR was shorter in ctDNA+ vs ctDNA- Stage II (HR 23.1, 95% CI 0.28-1900.4; p < 0.00001) and stage III pts (HR 17.9; 95% CI 2.7-117.3, p < 0.00001). TTR of Stage II and III ctDNA- pts was similar (p = 0.7). Conclusions: Our results indicate that ctDNA analysis can detect MRD within days after complete resection of CRC and accurately identifies pts at high risk of recurrence in both Stage II and III CRC. MRD detection via ctDNA sequencing may allow personalization of adjuvant treatment strategies.