Early peripheral perfusion index predicts 28-day outcome in patients with septic shock.

Abstract

To investigate the prognostic value of the peripheral perfusion index (PPI) in patients with septic shock. This prospective cohort study, conducted at the emergency intensive care unit of Peking University People's Hospital, recruited 200 patients with septic shock between January 2023 and August 2023. These patients were divided into survival (n=84) and death (n=116) groups based on 28-day outcomes. Clinical evaluations included laboratory tests and clinical scores, with lactate and PPI values assessed upon admission to the emergency room and at 6 h and 12 h after admission. Risk factors associated with mortality were analyzed using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curve was used to assess predictive performance. Mortality rates were compared, and Kaplan-Meier survival plots were created. Compared to the survival group, patients in the death group were older and had more severe liver damage and coagulation dysfunction, necessitating higher norepinephrine doses and increased fluid replacement. Higher lactate levels and lower PPI levels at 0 h, 6 h, and 12 h were observed in the death group. Multivariate Cox regression identified prolonged prothrombin time (PT), decreased 6-h PPI and 12-h PPI as independent risk factors for death. The area under the curves for 6-h PPI and 12-h PPI were 0.802 (95% CI 0.742-0.863, P<0.001) and 0.945 (95% CI 0.915-0.974, P<0.001), respectively, which were superior to Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) scores (0.864 and 0.928). Cumulative mortality in the low PPI groups at 6 h and 12 h was significantly higher than in the high PPI groups (6-h PPI: 77.52% vs. 22.54%; 12-h PPI: 92.04% vs. 13.79%, P<0.001). PPI may have value in predicting 28-day mortality in patients with septic shock.