Early Indian Summer Monsoon Onset Driven by Low Soil Moisture in the Iranian Desert

Abstract

AbstractAdvancing the leading time for onset prediction of the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) onset is an imperative task; however, it has remained a challenging subject. In particular, the land‐atmosphere coupling associated with monsoon onset prediction is poorly understood. Here we attempt to investigate the land factor as the ISM onset precursor through studying the internal mechanism of atmospheric heating, which is distinguished by monsoon onset. The low (high) soil moisture in the Iranian desert during March and April advances (delays) ISM onset by enhancing (disturbing) the vertical easterly wind shear. In addition, midtropospheric heating is affected by soil moisture in the Iranian desert. By investigating the internal atmospheric heating process and suggesting the relationship between low soil moisture and ISM onset, these findings clarify the monsoon onset mechanism in terms of the vertical atmospheric profile and land‐atmosphere interaction, which eventually extend the lead time for the onset prediction.