Abstract

Accurate and timely access to the production area of crop seeds allows the seed market and secure seed supply to be monitored. Seed maize and common maize production fields typically share similar phenological development profiles with differences in the planting patterns, which makes it challenging to separate these fields from decametric-resolution satellite images. In this research, we proposed a method to identify seed maize production fields as early as possible in the growing season using a time series of remote sensing images in the Liangzhou district of Gansu province, China. We collected Sentinel-2 and GaoFen-1 (GF-1) images captured from March to September. The feature space for classification consists of four original bands, namely red, green, blue, and near-infrared (nir), and eight vegetation indexes. We analyzed the timeliness of seed maize identification using Sentinel-2 time series of different time spans and identified the earliest time frame for reasonable classification accuracy. Then, the earliest time series that met the requirements of regulatory accuracy were compared and analyzed. Four machine/deep learning algorithms were tested, including K-nearest neighbor (KNN), support vector classification (SVC), random forest (RF), and long short-term memory (LSTM). The results showed that using Sentinel-2 images from March to June, the RF and LSTM algorithms achieve over 88% accuracy, with the LSTM performing the best (90%). In contrast, the accuracy of KNN and SVC was between 82% and 86%. At the end of June, seed maize mapping can be carried out in the experimental area, and the precision can meet the basic requirements of monitoring for the seed industry. The classification using GF-1 images were less accurate and reliable; the accuracy was 85% using images from March to June. To achieve near real-time identification of seed maize fields early in the growing season, we adopted an automated sample generation approach for the current season using only historical samples based on clustering analysis. The classification accuracy using new samples extracted from historical mapping reached 74% by the end of the season (September) and 63% by the end of July. This research provides important insights into the classification of crop fields cultivated with the same crop but different planting patterns using remote sensing images. The approach proposed by this study enables near-real time identification of seed maize production fields within the growing season, which could effectively support large-scale monitoring of the seed supply industry.

Highlights

  • The plots that produce crop seeds, which are called seed production fields, account for a very small but critical proportion of the crop area

  • The method used in this paper can obtain the area and space information of seed maize at the end of June, the overall accuracy (OA) of classification could reach 89%, and the producer accuracy (PA) and user accuracy (UA) of seed maize could reach over 90%, so as to realize the large-scale rapid mapping of seed maize

  • The ability to identify a seed maize field in the middle and early part of the growing season is crucial for agricultural administration departments to carry out market supervision

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Summary

Introduction

The plots that produce crop seeds, which are called seed production fields, account for a very small but critical proportion of the crop area. The area and yield information of these several hundred thousand hectares of seed maize production fields are the basis for agricultural management departments, enterprises, and farmers to carry out decision analysis on seed supply and demand, price, and the market. The traditional hybrid seed maize production area is typically obtained by using summary data from the seed management departments of provinces, cities, and counties. The use of remote sensing technology gives the specific spatial distribution and area information of seed maize from a relatively objective perspective. Establishing a method to obtain more accurate and objective data on the seed production area in the early stage of the annual seed production season is urgently required for the effective regulation of seed maize

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