Early Hypophosphatemia as a Prognostic Marker in Acute Pancreatitis.

Abstract

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a complex disease representing a significant portion of gastrointestinal-related hospitalizations in the U.S. Understanding risk factors of AP might provide attractive therapeutic targets. We evaluated hypophosphatemia as a risk factor for worse outcomes in AP. We performed a retrospective review of electronic health records of patients with AP admissions from 01/01/2012-12/31/2021 at Cedars-Sinai Medical Center, evaluating patients with serum phosphate measured within 48 hours of admission. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was employed to evaluate associations with ICU admission, AP severity, and a multivariable log-linear model was employed to examine associations with length of stay (LOS). Of 1,526 patients admitted for AP, 33% (499) had a serum phosphate level measured within 48 hours. Patients with hypophosphatemia were more likely to have been admitted to the ICU (AOR = 4.57; 95% CI: 2.75-7.62; P < 0.001), have a longer hospital stay (log-LOS = 0.34; SE; 0.09; 95% CI: 0.17-0.52; P < 0.001), and were more likely to have moderate or severe AP (AOR = 1.80; 95% CI: 1.16-2.80; P < 0.001) compared to those without hypophosphatemia. Serum phosphate is infrequently measured in patients with AP and shows promise as a rapid, inexpensive, and early prognostic marker for worse outcomes of AP.