Early glomerular filtration rates changes and risk of mortality in acute heart failure. The modifying role of admission renal function and decongestion

Abstract

BackgroundThe pathophysiology of changes in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in acute heart failure (AHF) is complex and multifactorial. We evaluated the associated mortality risk of early changes in eGFR across baseline renal function on admission and early changes in natriuretic peptides in patients admitted with AHF. MethodsWe retrospectively evaluated 2,070 patients admitted with AHF. Renal dysfunction on admission was defined as eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73m2 and successful decongestion as NT-proBNP decreased >30% from baseline. We assessed the mortality risk associated with eGFR changes from baseline at 48–72 h after admission (ΔeGFR%) according to baseline renal function, and NT-proBNP changes at 48–72 h through Cox regression analyses. ResultsThe mean age was 74.4 ± 11.2 years, and 930 (44.9%) were women. The proportion of admission eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73m2 and 48–72 h changes in NT-proBNP>30% were 50.5% and 32.8%, respectively. At a median follow-up of 1.75 years, 928 deaths were registered. In the whole sample, changes in renal function were not associated with mortality (p = 0.208). The adjusted analysis revealed that the risk of mortality related to ΔeGFR% was heterogeneous across baseline renal function and changes in NT-proBNP (p-value for interaction=0.003). ΔeGFR% was not associated with mortality in patients with baseline eGFR≥60 ml/min/1.73m2. In those with eGFR<60 ml/min/1.73m2, a decrease in eGFR was associated with higher mortality, particularly in those with a reduction in NT-proBNP<30%. ConclusionIn patients with AHF, early ΔeGFR% was associated with the risk of long-term mortality only in patients with renal dysfunction on admission and no early decline in NT-proBNP.