Dynamics of the Russian Pension System: Opportunities and Limitations (Methods of Processing and Analyzing the Development of the Pension System)

Abstract

The relevance of the article is due to the need for radical changes in the Russian pension system, its adaptation to modern requirements of the economy, social conditions and individual needs of people, which became even more obvious in the era of the global economic crisis. The purpose of the research is to conduct a statistical study of the structure of pensioners and pension provision in Russia and to develop further opportunities for the dynamics of the pension system and systematize scientific and methodological approaches to using statistical methods to assess the state and development trends of thepension system in Russia. Such an analysis will allow forming a scientific and theoretical basis for making management decisions in the field of social policy. Materials and methods. The article used statistical methods and techniques for studying the development of the pension system as an information-supported element in making managerial decisions about the need and directions for its reform. The calculations were carried out using official statistics. Results. The analysis of the structure of pensioners and pensions carried out in the section showed an increase in the share of old-age pensioners and the number of pensioners receiving social supplements, with most of the burden falls on the federal budget, since the proportion of pensioners receiving federal supplements is growing. The article focuses on the need to attract statistical tools for in-depth and scientifically grounded study of the entire complexity and versatility of economic phenomena and processes inherent in the state pension system. Based on the results of the studies carried out, the main problems have been systematized: the uneven distribution by age of the population of Russia, and this unevenness increases over time; a decrease in the share of the working-age population since 2002, an increase in the aging rate and average age, changes in the median and modal intervals. It is substantiated that the identified trends predetermine the need to reform the pension system, taking into account the aging of the population, in view of the forecast of the dynamics of the indicators presented in the article. The following limitations of the development of the pension system are identified in the work: a decrease in indicative poverty indicators in the country, a decrease in economic inequality as a result of differentiation of incomes of working and non-working population, reduction and compensation of the impact of economic and demographic risks inherent in any society. An analysis of the reform of the Russian pension system led to the conclusion that initially it was mainly aimed at improving its financial balance and modifying the parameters of the existing system. Conclusion. The trends in the aging of the population, economic and family changes, as well as their impact on the economy and the labor market, shown in the article make us reconsider the paradigm of the existing pension system. The results obtained indicate the need to increase the funding of the pension system.