Dynamics of Changes in Land Use in the National Coffee Development Area in Bantaeng Regency

Abstract

Establishing a national area for coffee development is a step forward by the government to improve the economy of farming communities. However, five years after its enactment, it shows that things differ from the desired program objectives. There are widespread changes in land use by farmers as a result of the decreasing productivity of coffee plants. This study aims to identify changes in land use and predict changes in the future. We used the Cellular Automata (CA)–Markov model and secondary data to verify the results of this study. This study found that the change from coffee land cultivation to clove land cultivation has changed the agricultural landscape in the coffee area in the last five or seven years and is projected to continue to experience significant growth in the next three years. The trend of changing coffee land cultivation to clove cultivation is a form of farmer resilience towards a livelihood that is considered more profitable. The socio-economic factors of the farming community are a serious problem. The demands of household living needs are in a position that must be hastened without careful consideration of risks in the future. Cultivation knowledge, climate change, biophysical land conditions and socio-economic conditions are essential variables that encourage farmers' behaviour in changing the landscape of their plantations.