Dynamic Threat Assessment of Air multi-target Based on DBN-TOPSIS Method

Abstract

In the traditional air target threat assessment, only quantitative threat degree is considered, and the target threat range assessment is missing. Aiming at the problem, a comprehensive dynamic threat assessment method is designed in this paper. This comprehensive method considers two terms of the target threat: threat degree and threat range. In terms of threat degree assessment, a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN) and a technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution (TOPSIS) are fused. The multi-target fusion assessment method DBN-TOPSIS is proposed. This method maps the probability of multi-target threat level obtained by dynamic Bayesian network to TOPSIS evaluation matrix. This strategy solves the problem of multi-target threat ranking. In terms of threat range assessment, a grey prediction threat range assessment method GM(1,1) is obtained. This method solves the problem of small sample threat range assessment. The experimental results show that the multi-target fusion threat assessment method is reasonable, and the target threat range can directly reflect the change of target threat degree in airspace.