Dynamic Resilience Quantification of Hydropower Infrastructure in Multihazard Environments

Abstract

Ensuring the continued functionality of hydropower infrastructure is of the greatest importance, considering the devastating socioeconomic and environmental impacts of dam operation failures. Among the different approaches currently adopted in hydropower dam operational safety, those that are resilience-based are at the leading edge because they focus on assessing the dynamic system performance pre-, during-, and post-hazard exposures. However, the main challenge for such assessment pertains to the complexity associated with the dynamic operation simulation of hydropower dam systems that consist of several components with nonlinear interdependencies. Moreover, the infrastructure’s exposure to a multihazard environment, which may impact one or more hydropower critical system components, poses further challenges to understanding possible subsequent dam operation failure scenarios. This study develops a resilience-centric system dynamics simulation model that provides a holistic representation of hydropower dam system components to estimate the system’s dynamic resilience in multihazard environments. The study also discusses a combinatorial procedure to generate multihazard scenarios, where a primary hazard can trigger one or more subsequent hazards. Finally, an actual hydropower dam is employed to demonstrate the developed model utility in assessing the resilience of complex infrastructure under a wide range of multihazard scenarios. The proposed model provides valuable decision support tools for infrastructure systemic risk mitigation in multihazard environments—facilitating the development of effective resilience planning strategies.