Abstract
Due to massive flammable chemical materials and dense layout, domino accident chain always occurs in major accidents of atmospheric storage tank farm. In this paper, 136 domino effect accidents of atmospheric tanks are analyzed to achieve relative probability by ETA method. Based on accident probability, an analysis model is proposed to define the most likely accident chain and the key tank in the atmospheric tank farm. To get the real accident scenario, the method adopts the heat radiation model of pool fire under the fire extinguishing conditions. Combined with the dynamic Bayesian network, the escalation model of accident chain is established to figure out the dynamic probability of the tank under the condition of fire extinguishing. Finally, an example is used to verify the feasibility of the method. It is of great theoretical significance and application value for the treatment of domino accident in atmospheric tank farm.
Sign-in/Register to access full text options 
Talk to us
Join us for a 30 min session where you can share your feedback and ask us any queries you have
Schedule a callDisclaimer: All third-party content on this website/platform is and will remain the property of their respective owners and is provided on "as is" basis without any warranties, express or implied. Use of third-party content does not indicate any affiliation, sponsorship with or endorsement by them. Any references to third-party content is to identify the corresponding services and shall be considered fair use under The CopyrightLaw.
