Dynamic Predictive Maintenance Scheduling Using Deep Learning Ensemble for System Health Prognostics

Abstract

Modern engineering systems are usually equipped with a variety of sensors to measure real-time operating conditions. Based on the condition monitoring data from multiple sensor sources, this paper deals with a dynamic predictive maintenance scheduling using deep learning ensemble for system health prognostics. The deep learning ensemble model is composed of deep autoencoder and bidirectional long short-term memory in series, and aims to accurately estimate the system health state and remaining useful life. The deep autoencoder is used to extract the deep representative features hidden in condition monitoring data, whereas the inclusion of the bidirectional long short-term memory allows learning the temporal correlation information of features in both forward and backward time directions. Thus, the combination of the two models forms an effective model. With obtained prognostic information, optimal maintenance decisions are determined by two designed rules. The first rule presets a reliable remaining useful life threshold to dynamically judge whether maintenance is carried out at current inspection time, while the second one selects a degradation state to dynamically determine whether to place a spare part order. The performance of the proposed dynamic predictive maintenance strategy is measured by the maintenance cost per unit operating time (cost rate) using the aero-engine dataset from NASA. Its effectiveness is demonstrated by comparing with recent publications.