Dynamic Prediction of Longitudinal Settlement of Existing Tunnel Using ConvRes-DLinear Model with Integration of Undercrossing Construction Process Information

Abstract

Undercrossing construction can cause severe structural deformation of the above existing tunnel in operation. The induced longitudinal differential settlement between the segments can pose a huge risk to running subways, hence it is of great importance to monitor and predict the settlement. Within this study, a Wireless Sensor Network (WSN) system was implemented to obtain hourly monitoring data of settlement from the very beginning of undercrossing to post construction period. An improved direct multi-step (DMS) forecasting model called ConvRes-DLinear is proposed, which fuses monitoring data with time and process encoding bias to deeply extract and learn temporal correlation of time series. A residual LSTM model is also constructed to compare the accuracy of the improved DLinear model. The training and testing experiment on the monitoring data of longitudinal settlement obtained by WSN system shows that the ConvRes-DLinear model with time and process encoding bias performs surprisingly well with a minimum prediction error. The features of the proposed model are discussed to make the results explainable. The monitoring system and time series forecasting model proposed in this study have a guiding significance for the monitoring and prediction of longitudinal differential settlement of tunnels under environmental disturbance.