Abstract

ObjectiveEarly EEG contains reliable information for outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest. We introduce dynamic functional connectivity measures and estimate additional predictive values. MethodsWe performed a prospective multicenter cohort study on continuous EEG for outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest. We calculated Link Rates (LR) and Link Durations (LD) in the α, δ, and θ band, based on similarity of instantaneous frequencies in five-minute EEG epochs, hourly, during 3 days after cardiac arrest. We studied associations of LR and LD with good (Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) 1–2) or poor outcome (CPC 3–5) with univariate analyses. With random forest classification, we established EEG-based predictive models. We used receiver operating characteristics to estimate additional values of dynamic connectivity measures for outcome prediction. ResultsOf 683 patients, 369 (54%) had poor outcome. Patients with poor outcome had significantly lower LR and longer LD, with largest differences 12 h after cardiac arrest (LRθ 1.87 vs. 1.95 Hz and LDα 91 vs. 82 ms). Adding these measures to a model with classical EEG features increased sensitivity for reliable prediction of poor outcome from 34% to 38% at 12 h after cardiac arrest. ConclusionPoor outcome is associated with lower dynamics of connectivity after cardiac arrest. SignificanceDynamic functional connectivity analysis may improve EEG based outcome prediction.

Highlights

  • ObjectiveEEG contains reliable information for outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest

  • We assume that functional connectivity between channel pairs i and j exists if it holds that their ridge curves, i.e. their time–frequency representation (TFR) peaks, overlap, for at least a duration of 4 samples

  • Discriminative values of random forest classifiers at 12 and 24 hours after cardiac arrest containing only quantitative EEG (qEEG) features and of classifiers based on qEEG and Link Rates (LR) and Link Durations (LD) are essentially equal (Fig. 5)

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Summary

Objective

EEG contains reliable information for outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest. Methods: We performed a prospective multicenter cohort study on continuous EEG for outcome prediction of comatose patients after cardiac arrest. We used receiver operating characteristics to estimate additional values of dynamic connectivity measures for outcome prediction. Patients with poor outcome had significantly lower LR and longer LD, with largest differences 12 h after cardiac arrest (LRh 1.87 vs 1.95 Hz and LDa 91 vs 82 ms). Adding these measures to a model with classical EEG features increased sensitivity for reliable prediction of poor outcome from 34% to 38% at 12 h after cardiac arrest. Conclusion: Poor outcome is associated with lower dynamics of connectivity after cardiac arrest.

Introduction
Study design
Decisions on withdrawal of treatment
Outcome
EEG preprocessing
Connectivity
Random forest classifiers
Statistical analysis
Results
Link rates
Link durations
Additional value
Discussion
Study limitations and future perspectives
Conclusion

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