Dynamic forecasting and optimal scheduling of by-product gases in integrated iron and steel works

Abstract

The by-product gases, which are generated in ironmaking, coking and steelmaking processes, can be used as fuel for the metallurgical processes and on-site power plants. However, if the supply and demand of by-product gases are imbalanced, gas flaring may occur, leading to energy wastage and environmental pollution. Therefore, optimal scheduling of by-product gases is important in iron and steel works. A BP_LSSVM model, which combines back-propagation (BP) neural network and least squares support vector machine (LSSVM), and an improved mixed integer linear programming model were proposed to forecast the surplus gases and allocate them optimally. To maximize energy utilization, the stability of gas holders and boilers was considered and a concise heuristic procedure was proposed to assign penalties for boilers and gas holders. Moreover, the optimal level of gas holder was studied to enhance the stability of the gas system. Compared to the manual operation, the optimal results showed that the electricity generated by the power plant increased by 2.93% in normal condition and by 22.2% in overhaul condition. The proposed model minimizes the total cost by optimizing the boiler load with less adjustment frequency and the stability of gas holders and can be used as a guidance in dynamic forecasting and optimal scheduling of by-product gases in integrated iron and steel works.