Dynamic contribution and structural changes of carbon emissions in China's energy chemical industry with high-emission subsectors heterogeneity.

Abstract

China's energy chemical industry accounts for about 12.01% of the national carbon emissions, while the heterogeneous carbon emission characteristics exhibited by the subsectors have not been reliably investigated. Based on the energy consumption data of the energy chemical industry subsectors in 30 Chinese provinces from 2006 to 2019, this study systematically identified the carbon emission contributions of high-emission subsectors, examined the evolutionary changes and correlation characteristics of carbon emissions from different perspectives, and further explored the carbon emission drivers. According to the survey, coal mining and washing (CMW) and petroleum processing, coking, and nuclear fuel processing (PCN) were high-emission sectors of the energy chemical industry, with annual emissions of more than 150 million tons, accounting for about 72.98% of the energy chemical industry. In addition, the number of high-emission areas in China's energy chemical industries has gradually increased, and the spatial disequilibrium of carbon emissions in industrial sectors has gradually deepened. The development of upstream industries had a strong correlation with carbon emissions, and the upstream industry sector still has not achieved carbon decoupling. The decomposition of the driving effects of carbon emissions showed that the economic output effect is the largest contributor to the growth of carbon emissions in the energy chemical industry, while energy restructuring and energy intensity reduction help reduce carbon emissions, but there is heterogeneity in the driving effects of subsectors.