Dwarf Mongoose Optimization Metaheuristics for Autoregressive Exogenous Model Identification

Abstract

Nature-inspired metaheuristic algorithms have gained great attention over the last decade due to their potential for finding optimal solutions to different optimization problems. In this study, a metaheuristic based on the dwarf mongoose optimization algorithm (DMOA) is presented for the parameter estimation of an autoregressive exogenous (ARX) model. In the DMOA, the set of candidate solutions were stochastically created and improved using only one tuning parameter. The performance of the DMOA for ARX identification was deeply investigated in terms of its convergence speed, estimation accuracy, robustness and reliability. Furthermore, comparative analyses with other recent state-of-the-art metaheuristics based on Aquila Optimizer, the Sine Cosine Algorithm, the Arithmetic Optimization Algorithm and the Reptile Search algorithm—using a nonparametric Kruskal–Wallis test—endorsed the consistent, accurate performance of the proposed metaheuristic for ARX identification.