Abstract

In order to prevent evictions, it is important to gain more insight into factors predicting whether or not tenants receive an eviction order. In this study, ten potential risk factors for evictions were tested. Tenants who were at risk of eviction due to rent arrears in five Dutch cities were interviewed using a structured questionnaire, and six months later their housing associations were asked to provide information about the tenants' current situation. Multiple logistic regression analyses with data on 344 tenants revealed that the amount of rent arrears was a strong predictor for receiving an eviction order. Furthermore, single tenants and tenants who had already been summoned to appear in court were more likely to receive an eviction order. These results can contribute to identifying households at risk of eviction at an early stage, and to develop targeted interventions to prevent evictions.

Highlights

  • Losing one’s home due to an eviction, and the mere prospect of being evicted, can have a severe impact on the lives of those involved [1]

  • Our results indicate that the level of rent arrears is a strong predictor; higher rent arrears

  • Single tenants were more likely to receive an eviction order, and tenants who had been summoned to appear in court and were waiting for their court hearing were more likely to receive an eviction order, compared to tenants who had not been summoned yet

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Summary

Introduction

Losing one’s home due to an eviction, and the mere prospect of being evicted, can have a severe impact on the lives of those involved [1]. It causes major stress and feelings of panic and shame [2], and may even lead to suicide [3]. Akkermans and Rakers [7] estimated the cost of an eviction in the Netherlands to be between 5,000 and 9,000 euro These costs include bailiff and litigation costs, costs for the eviction itself, unrecovered rent, costs for repairing damages to the property, and costs for removing the personal belongings of the tenants from the accommodation. When tenants are not able to pay these costs, they have to be covered by the housing

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