Abstract

As policymakers and automotive stakeholders around the world seek to accelerate the electrification of road transport with hydrogen, this study focuses on the experiences of Germany, a world leader in fuel cell technology. Specifically, it identifies and compares the drivers and barriers influencing the production and market penetration of privately-owned fuel cell electric passenger vehicles (FCEVs) and fuel cell electric buses (FCEBs) in public transit fleets. Using original data collected via a survey and 17 interviews, we elicited the opinions of experts to examine opportunities and obstacles in Germany from four perspectives: (i) the supply of vehicles (ii) refuelling infrastructure, (iii) demand for vehicles, and (iv) cross-cutting institutional issues. Findings indicate that despite multiple drivers, there are significant challenges hampering the growth of the hydrogen mobility market. Several are more pronounced in the passenger FCEV market. These include the supply and cost of production, the lack of German automakers producing FCEVs, the profitability and availability of refuelling stations, and low demand for vehicles. In light of these findings, we extract implications for international policymakers and future studies. This study provides a timely update on efforts to spur the deployment of hydrogen mobility in Germany and addresses the underrepresentation of studies examining both buses and passenger vehicles in tandem.

Highlights

  • After serving as the dominant technology for road transport for more than a century, the internal combustion engine is being replaced by electric drivetrains, and this transition is gathering speed [1,2]

  • Two zero emission and electric drivetrains are wrestling for market attention, private investments and supportive government policies: battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) powered by hydrogen [6]

  • This paper identifies the principal drivers and barriers affecting the growth of the hydrogen mobility market in Germany for both privately-owned passenger vehicles (FCEVs) and buses (FCEBs) in public transit fleets

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Summary

Introduction

After serving as the dominant technology for road transport for more than a century, the internal combustion engine is being replaced by electric drivetrains, and this transition is gathering speed [1,2] Propelling this momentum are government policies and market trends seeking to reduce the contribution of road transport to climate change and to mitigate air pollution while modernising the driving experience with automation, electrification and digitalisation [3,4,5]. Two zero emission and electric drivetrains are wrestling for market attention, private investments and supportive government policies: battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs) powered by hydrogen [6] Relative to their fuel cell counterpart, BEVs are several years ahead on the technological learning and cost reduction curve, dominating yearly sales of zero emission vehicles (ZEVs). While numerous actors in industry, government and research institutions have refuted the need for hydrogen to electrify the passenger vehicle market, stakeholders in several states and countries including Japan [9,10,11], China [12,13,14], Korea [15], California [16,17,18], Germany [19,20,21]

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