Drain fluid volume combined with amylase level predicts clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula after pancreaticoduodenectomy: A retrospective clinical study.

Abstract

Several indicators are recognized in the development of clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) after pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD). However, drain fluid volume (DFV) remains poorly studied. We aimed to discover the predictive effects of DFV and guide clinical management. We retrospectively reviewed the clinical data of patients that received PD between January 2015 and December 2019 in a high-volume center. DFV was analyzed as a potential risk factor and postoperative short-term outcomes as well as drain removal time were compared stratified by different DFV levels. Receiver operating characteristic curves and area under curves (AUC) were compared for DFV alone and DFV combined with drain fluid amylase (DFA). Subgroup analysis of DFV stratified by DFA evaluated the predictability of CR-POPF. CR-POPF occurred in 19.7% of 841 patients. Hypertension, postoperative day 3 (POD3) DFA≥300U/L, and POD3 DFV≥30mL were independent risk factors, while pancreatic main duct diameter ≥3mm was a protective factor. POD3 DFV≥30mL increased the overall occurrences of CR-POPF and major complications (P=0.017; P=0.029). POD3 DFV alone presented a low predictive value (AUC 0.602), while POD3 DFV combined with DFA had a high predictive value (AUC 0.759) for CR-POPF. Subgroup analysis showed that the combination of POD3 DFV≥30mL and DFA≥300U/L led to higher incidences of CR-POPF (P=0.003). CR-POPF is common after PD, and high DFV combined with DFA may predict its occurrence and facilitate appropriate management.