Abstract

Despite substantial research and policy interest in pixel level cropland allocation data, few sources are available that span a large geographic area. The data used for much of this research are derived from complex modeling techniques that may include model simulation and other data processing. We develop a transparent econometric framework that uses pixel level biophysical measurements and aggregate cropland statistics to develop pixel level cropland allocation predictions. Such pixel level land use data can be used to investigate the impact of human activities on the environment. Validation exercises show that our approach is effective at downscaling cropland allocation to multiple levels of resolution.

Highlights

  • Agricultural productivity and environmental sustainability are central focuses for policymakers and academics

  • Downscaling of natl crop area statistics using drivers of cropland productivity measured at fine resolutions regions that researchers desire; it limits the reliability of high spatial resolution environmental models that use land use data as inputs

  • We extend Eq (2), which is defined at the pixel level, to the administrative unit level via aggregation–i.e., the predicted fraction of land in crop k in administrative unit j is equal to the average pixel fraction weighted by area

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Summary

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Downscaling of natl crop area statistics using drivers of cropland productivity measured at fine resolutions regions that researchers desire; it limits the reliability of high spatial resolution environmental models that use land use data as inputs. To address these issues, researchers have turned to combining census data with satellite imagery [8] or simulation methods [9] to allocate harvested areas from aggregate to pixel-level.

Model preliminaries
Econometric model and estimation
GijkðW X ðXij
Software implementation
Data and empirical models
Harvested land area
Pixel level biophysical data
Indicator variables and final sample
Parameter estimates and marginal effects
North America Central America South America
Wheat Marginal Effect
Model validation
Validation against alternative data sources
Conclusions
Findings
Author Contributions
Full Text
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