Dominant Forcing Regions of Decadal Variations in the Kuroshio Extension Revealed by a Linear Rossby Wave Model

Abstract

AbstractThe Kuroshio Extension (KE) is known to undergo large decadal variations, especially after the 1976/77 climate regime shift. Due to strong ocean‐atmosphere interactions over the KE, the region may be a key region for basin‐scale Pacific decadal climate variability. Although baroclinic Rossby waves are suggested to influence the KE decadal variability, it remains unclear where and how decadal atmospheric forcing anomalies that induce the Rossby waves are generated. Using a linear Rossby wave model forced by reanalysis surface wind stress, the relative contribution of wind stress at each longitude is quantified for the first time. It is shown that the contribution is largest at 160°W, and 40% of the total variance in the decadal KE variability is explained by the wind forcing around 170°–150°W. Further analyses suggest that the atmospheric forcing anomalies are generated by the El Niño/Southern Oscillation Modoki through an atmospheric teleconnection after the regime shift.