Does weight change modify the association between the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages and 100% fruit juice and the risk of metabolic syndrome?

Abstract

This study aimed to determine the prospective relationship between the consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) and 100% fruit juice and metabolic syndrome (MetS) and to investigate whether weight change can modify this association in a representative sample of the population of Tehran, Iran. In this 8.9-year follow-up study, the consumption of SSBs and 100% fruit juice by 1915 individuals, who participated in Tehran Lipid and Glucose Study (TLGS), was examined using a validated food frequency questionnaire. The MetS was defined according to the Joint Interim Statement. Participants were categorized as those who lost weight (≥-2%), those with weight stability (-1.9%-1.9%), and those who gained weight (≥2%). The Cox regression model was used to determine the relationship between the consumption of SSBs and 100% fruit juice and the risk of MetS and weight gain ≥2%. Also, the modifying effect of weight change including weight loss, weight stability and weight gain on the relationship between SSBs and 100% fruit juice consumption and the incidence of MetS was assessed. There was no significant association between the consumption of SSBs and the risk of MetS in the crude model; however, after adjustments for confounders, a significant positive association was found between the consumption of SSBs and the risk of MetS (HR: 1.33; 95% CI: 1.07-1.66). Also, no significant association was observed between the consumption of 100% fruit juice and the risk of MetS in the crude model. However, after adjustments for the potential confounders, 100% fruit juice was inversely associated with the MetS risk (HR: 0.78; 95% CI: 0.63-0.95). The consumption of SSBs and 100% fruit juice was positively associated with weight gain (≥2% during the follow-up). Nevertheless, after adjustments for lifestyle and dietary factors, there was no significant association between the consumption of SSBs and weight gain. On the other hand, the consumption of 100% fruit juice was positively associated with the increased risk of weight gain (HR: 1.41; 95% CI: 1.20-1.65). Among participants with weight loss, the first, second and third tertiles of 100% fruit juice reduced the risk of MetS by 29% (HR: 0.71; 95% CI: 0.51-0.99), 47% (HR: 0.53; 95% CI: 0.37-0.75) and 35% (HR: 0.65; 95% CI: 0.46-0.92), respectively. Although 100% fruit juice reduced the risk of MetS, its consumption must be limited due to its positive effect on weight gain. On the other hand, the consumption of 100% fruit juice reduced the risk of MetS, depending on the individual's weight change. Also, high consumption of SSBs was associated with the incidence of MetS.