Does vertical environmental protection pressure promote convergence of urban air pollution?

Abstract

Recent research shows that the annual average concentration and winter average concentration of PM2.5 in Chinese cities have exhibited a convergence trend since 2013. However, the urban air situation in China remains far from ideal. For an authoritative government, vertical environmental protection pressure (VEPP) may be an important mechanism to motivate cities with high PM2.5 concentration levels to reduce haze pollution more rapidly compared to cities with low PM2.5 concentrations. Thus, VEPP could be considered an institutional advantage in China's vertical air pollution allocation strategy. To investigate the impact of the VEPP of Chinese local governments on the convergence of PM2.5 concentrations, this study uses the counterfactual distribution dynamics analysis framework, which combines parametric regression analysis with the nonparametric distribution dynamics technique. The results show that the Chinese government can promote the convergence of air pollution in local cities to a “favorable” level by increasing the pressure of environmental protection. However, merely increasing VEPP will not completely solve the problem of air pollution in Chinese cities during winter months. Compared with the central and western regions, the VEPP of local governments in the eastern region can promote the convergence of the average annual and winter PM2.5 concentrations.