Does the Visibility of Grade Group 1 Prostate Cancer on Baseline Multiparametric Magnetic Resonance Imaging Impact Clinical Outcomes?

Abstract

We assessed whether the visibility of Grade Group (GG) 1 prostate cancer on baseline multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging affects clinical outcomes. We evaluated 454 men who underwent multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging between 2006 and 2018 with maximum GG1 prostate cancer inclusive of magnetic resonance imaging targeted biopsy. Multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging was graded as negative, equivocal or positive. Assessed outcomes were treatment-free survival, biopsy upgrade-free survival and unfavorable disease at radical prostatectomy (pT 3 or greater and/or GG3 or greater). Kaplan-Meier and multivariable Cox proportional hazard analyses were used to estimate the impact of multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging and clinicopathological variables (age, year, prostate specific antigen density and measures of tumor volume on biopsy) on outcomes. During followup (median 45.2 months) 61 men had disease upgraded on followup biopsy and 139 underwent definitive treatment. In men with negative, equivocal and positive baseline multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging at 5 years, treatment-free survival was 79%, 73% and 49% (p <0.0001), treatment-free survival was 89%, 82% and 70% (p=0.002), and survival without unfavorable disease at radical prostatectomy was 98%, 98% and 86% (p=0.007), respectively. At multivariable analysis positive (HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.21-3.09, p=0.006) and equivocal multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (HR 2.02, 95% CI 1.11-3.68, p=0.02) were associated with shorter treatment-free survival, and positive multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging was a significant prognostic factor for upgrade-free survival (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.06-3.86, p=0.03) and unfavorable disease at radical prostatectomy (HR 4.45, 95% CI 1.39-18.17, p=0.01). Men with positive multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging and GG1 prostate cancer on magnetic resonance imaging targeted biopsy are at increased risk for intervention, upgrading and unfavorable disease at radical prostatectomy compared to those with multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging invisible GG1 prostate cancer.