Abstract
ObjectivesThis study examines the relationship between incarceration time and post-release recidivism among first-time incarcerated adult offenders.MethodsA quasi-experimental design was adopted consisting of three policy reforms that were treated as separate natural experiments. While holding imposed sentence length constant, these policy reforms either decreased or increased the required share of a sentence inmates needed to be incarcerated before being eligible for parole. Data consisted of large-scale administrative records containing all convictions for the Swedish cohorts born in 1958 and later.ResultsResults indicate that neither increased nor decreased incarceration time had a statistically significant effect on post-release recidivism, irrespective of how recidivism was measured.ConclusionsFindings reveal little evidence for incarceration time having a criminogenic or specific preventive effect on post-release recidivism.
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