Abstract

Well-connected bicycle infrastructure networks are widely accepted to be an important factor for increasing the level of bicycling in urban environments where motorised and active transport modes must co-exist. However, little is known about the extent to which new bicycle infrastructure results in changes of route amongst existing bicyclists as opposed to changes in the mode of transport. This article addresses the route-mode research gap through a panel study in which participant travel behaviour (n = 113) is recorded with a smartphone Global Positioning System (GPS) application. The study observes short-term changes to route and mode choice of participants before and after the establishment of a contraflow bicycle lane in Oslo, Norway. Video and radar-based traffic counting are used as supplementary methods to affirm bicycle volume changes in the broader population.The bicycle lane intervention resulted in a shift in the preferred route in the neighbourhood. The intervention street saw increased numbers of bicycle trips taken whilst the two nearest parallel routes in the same neighbourhood witnessed a decrease. For bicycle trips taken on the intervention street, the mean deviation from the shortest path increased (from 171 to 221 m, p < .05). Bicycle counts based on video observations also support the route shift finding. Bicycle modal share did not significantly increase when comparing the panel sub-group exposed to the intervention (n = 39) with a quasi-control group (n = 47) who were not exposed but had made at least one trip in the near vicinity of the intervention in both time periods.This natural experiment study provides evidence to suggest that route substitution from nearby streets and paths can explain more of the change in bicycling levels than modal shifts to bicycling in the short term following the opening of the bike lane.

Highlights

  • High quality and separate bicycle infrastructure has been frequently established as a precondition for achieving high levels of utility bicycle use (Dill, 2009; Hull and O'Holleran, 2014; Wahlgren and Schantz, 2014)

  • Five descriptive studies are introduced with focus on route changes resulting from bicycle infrastructure interventions, whilst the final section of the background summarises two studies that use the same type of contraflow bicycle lane as this case study

  • Study designs for longitudinal bicycle infrastructure evaluation studies such as this vary widely; few studies register changes of bicycle route choice as well as mode choice

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Summary

Introduction

High quality and separate bicycle infrastructure has been frequently established as a precondition for achieving high levels of utility bicycle use (Dill, 2009; Hull and O'Holleran, 2014; Wahlgren and Schantz, 2014). Many studies of environmental correlates have established a link between cycling rates and infrastructure (Mertens et al, 2017; Nielsen et al, 2013; Saelens et al, 2003; Schneider and Stefanich, 2015), the empirical data is somewhat limited with respect to single project infrastructural impacts within bicycle networks (Handy et al, 2014; Yang et al, 2010) This panel study analyses the route and mode choice effects of a contraflow bicycle lane built in August 2017 in Oslo, Norway. The timeline of the data collection and intervention is described here This is followed by the results section, which reports the changes observed within the GPS panel and comparisons with bicycle count data. 2011; Loveday et al, 2015), whilst GPS in combination with other methods have been reviewed by several other researchers, covering more recent combinations of GPS in studies using crowdsourcing, ‘big app’ data aggregators, instrumented bicycle setups and bike sharing operator data (Buehler and Dill, 2015; Pritchard, 2018; Romanillos et al, 2016)

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