Does FDG PET-Based Radiomics Have an Added Value for Prediction of Overall Survival in Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer?

Abstract

Objectives: Radiomics and machine learning are innovative approaches to improve the clinical management of NSCLC. However, there is less information about the additive value of FDG PET-based radiomics compared with clinical and imaging variables. Methods: This retrospective study included 320 NSCLC patients who underwent PET/CT with FDG at initial staging. VOIs were placed on primary tumors only. We included a total of 94 variables, including 87 textural features extracted from PET studies, SUVmax, MTV, TLG, TNM stage, histology, age, and gender. We used the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression to select variables with the highest predictive value. Although several radiomics variables are available, the added value of these predictors compared with clinical and imaging variables is still under evaluation. Three hundred and twenty NSCLC patients were included in this retrospective study and underwent 18F-FDG PET/CT at initial staging. In this study, we evaluated 94 variables, including 87 textural features, SUVmax, MTV, TLG, TNM stage, histology, age, and gender. Image-based predictors were extracted from a volume of interest (VOI) positioned on the primary tumor. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression was used to reduce the number of variables and select only those with the highest predictive value. The predictive model implemented with the variables selected using the LASSO analysis was compared with a reference model using only a tumor stage and SUVmax. Results: NGTDM coarseness, SUVmax, and TNM stage survived the LASSO analysis and were used for the radiomic model. The AUCs obtained from the reference and radiomic models were 80.82 (95%CI, 69.01-92.63) and 81.02 (95%CI, 69.07-92.97), respectively (p = 0.98). The median OS in the reference model was 17.0 months in high-risk patients (95%CI, 11-21) and 113 months in low-risk patients (HR 7.47, p < 0.001). In the radiomic model, the median OS was 16.5 months (95%CI, 11-20) and 113 months in high- and low-risk groups, respectively (HR 9.64, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Our results indicate that a radiomic model composed using the tumor stage, SUVmax, and a selected radiomic feature (NGTDM_Coarseness) predicts survival in NSCLC patients similarly to a reference model composed only by the tumor stage and SUVmax. Replication of these preliminary results is necessary.