Abstract

AbstractDeveloping countries are eager to host foreign direct investment to receive positive technology spillovers to their local firms. However, what types of foreign firms are desirable for the host country to achieve spillovers best? We address this question using firm‐level panel data from Vietnam to investigate whether foreign Asian investors in downstream sectors with different productivity affect the productivity of local Vietnamese firms in upstream sectors differently. Using endogenous structural breaks, we divide Asian investors into low‐, middle‐, and high‐productivity groups. The results suggest that the presence of the middle group has the strongest positive spillover effect. The differential spillover effects can be explained by a simple model with vertical linkages and productivity‐enhancing investment by local suppliers. The theoretical mechanism is also empirically confirmed.

Highlights

  • Hosting foreign direct investment (FDI) is essential for enhancing economic growth in developing countries

  • We examine how the productivity gap and vertical spillover are correlated in the context of Vietnam

  • We focus on Asian investors, which are most likely to induce vertical spillover to local suppliers, as shown in the previous literature

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Summary

Introduction

Hosting foreign direct investment (FDI) is essential for enhancing economic growth in developing countries. Recent studies show that the degree of vertical spillovers depends on both characteristics of local firms and those of foreign investors (Blalock and Gertler, 2009; Javorcik and Spatareanu, 2008, 2011; Ni et al, 2017). A similar theoretical result can be found in Rodrıguez-Clare (1996): hosting downstream FDI would increase the productivity of local suppliers if the number of locally produced input variety is close to the one produced in the origin country. The average productivity level of most Vietnamese local firms is lower than that of foreign investors entering Vietnam (Ni et al, 2017), which gives Vietnamese firms more potential to catch up How such a technology gap can be filled is one of the challenges that developing countries face. The data source is used in other recent studies on Vietnam, e.g., Ha et al (2016) on resource misallocation; Trinh and Ha (2018) on small and medium-sized firms; Nguyen et al (2020) for employment

Data and estimation strategy
Estimating firm productivity
Estimating the spillover effect
Dividing the Asian investors into subgroups
Estimation results
Endogeneity
Other robustness checks
A simple model
Final stage
Second stage
First stage
Inverted-U-shaped relationship
Empirical evidence on the mechanism
Conclusion
Additional tables
An extended model with horizontal spillovers
Full Text
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