Do public works programs work in Eastern Germany?

Abstract

We analyze the effectiveness of public works programs (PWP, Arbeits-beschaffungsmasnahmen) in Eastern Germany as measured by their effects on individual future re-employment probabilities in regular jobs. These are estimated by discrete hazard rate models on the basis of individual-level panel data. We account for unobserved individual heterogeneity in both the PWP participation and in the outcome equations. We also test for selection on unobservables. We find that public works programs seem to have no special targeting focus on disadvantaged groups in the labor market and that participants are, on average, worse off concerning their re-employment prospects in regular jobs than unemployed people who do not join such a program. A possible explanation for this result is that PWP participants search less intensively for a regular job while on such a program than unemployed non-participants.