Abstract

ObjectivesLittle is known about patient characteristics as predictors for outcome in manualized short term psychodynamic psychotherapy (PDT). No study has addressed which patient variables predict outcome of PDT for social anxiety disorder.Research Design and MethodsIn the largest multicenter trial on psychotherapy of social anxiety (SA) to date comparing cognitive therapy, PDT and wait list condition N = 230 patients were assigned to receive PDT, of which N = 166 completed treatment. Treatment outcome was assessed based on diverse parameters such as endstate functioning, remission, response, and drop-out. The relationship between patient characteristics (demographic variables, mental co-morbidity, personality, interpersonal problems) and outcome was analysed using logistic and linear regressions.ResultsPre-treatment SA predicted up to 39 percent of variance of outcome. Only few additional baseline characteristics predicted better treatment outcome (namely, lower comorbidity and interpersonal problems) with a limited proportion of incremental variance (5.5 to 10 percent), while, e.g., shame, self-esteem or harm avoidance did not.ConclusionsWe argue that the central importance of pre-treatment symptom severity for predicting outcomes should advocate alternative treatment strategies (e.g. longer treatments, combination of psychotherapy and medication) in those who are most disturbed. Given the relatively small amount of variance explained by the other patient characteristics, process variables and patient-therapist interaction should additionally be taken into account in future research.Trial RegistrationControlled-trials.com/ISRCTN53517394

Highlights

  • Patient characteristics and life circumstances are supposed to explain a substantial percentage of variance of the improvement by psychotherapy [1]

  • We argue that the central importance of pre-treatment symptom severity for predicting outcomes should advocate alternative treatment strategies in those who are most disturbed

  • Given the relatively small amount of variance explained by the other patient characteristics, process variables and patient-therapist interaction should be taken into account in future research

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Summary

Introduction

Patient characteristics and life circumstances are supposed to explain a substantial percentage of variance (about 40%) of the improvement by psychotherapy [1]. Both with therapist and treatment characteristics, and therapy-patient match may be highly relevant for treatment planning [2, 3]. In their overview on client characteristics, Bohart and Wade classify pre-treatment ‘client contributions’ to outcome into demographic variables, pathology and personal characteristics [4]. The impact of high symptom severity (as an aspect of pathology) is considered to be two-fold: It may require more sessions and may lead to poorer prognosis [5], but it is the best predictor of change. Results on personal characteristics are yet rather inconsistent, as different measures for diverse constructs have been used across studies and sample sizes are often only small [4, 6]

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