Abstract
Significance Security conditions in Libya have worsened drastically as Haftar continues efforts to capture Tripoli from the Government of National Accord (GNA). In light of intensified fighting between Haftar’s Libyan National Army (LNA) and the GNA’s forces, key international actors are becoming more involved. Impacts In the short-term, renewed fighting in Tripoli may spook foreign investors who will fear another civil war. Rogue militias may take advantage of the ongoing chaos to attack oilfields, potentially disrupting output. Migration flows to Europe may spike if fighting intensifies and displaces more people.
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