Abstract

Collective, especially group-based, managerial decision making is crucial in organizations. Using an evolutionary theoretic approach to collective decision making, agent-based simulations were conducted to investigate how human collective decision making would be affected by the agents’ diversity in problem understanding and/or behavior in discussion, as well as by their social network structure. Simulation results indicated that groups with consistent problem understanding tended to produce higher utility values of ideas and displayed better decision convergence, but only if there was no group-level bias in collective problem understanding. Simulation results also indicated the importance of balance between selection-oriented (i.e., exploitative) and variation-oriented (i.e., explorative) behaviors in discussion to achieve quality final decisions. Expanding the group size and introducing nontrivial social network structure generally improved the quality of ideas at the cost of decision convergence. Simulations with different social network topologies revealed collective decision making on small-world networks with high local clustering tended to achieve highest decision quality more often than on random or scale-free networks. Implications of this evolutionary theory and simulation approach for future managerial research on collective, group, and multilevel decision making are discussed.

Highlights

  • Collective decision making plays an increasingly important role in society and organizations today [1,2,3,4,5,6]

  • We developed an agent-based model and applied evolutionary operators as a means of illustrating how individuals, groups, and collectives may move through a decision process based on ecologies of ideas over a social network habitat

  • We considered various compositions of group members ranging from homogeneity to heterogeneity and examined the impact of group behaviors on Complexity the dynamic decision process as well

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Summary

Introduction

Collective decision making plays an increasingly important role in society and organizations today [1,2,3,4,5,6]. In high-tech industries, for example, the number of engineers participating in the design of a single product can amount to hundreds or even thousands due to the increase of the product’s complexity far beyond each individual engineer’s capacity, which almost inevitably results in suboptimal outcomes [7,8,9]. Another example is the online collective decision making among massive anonymous participants via large-scale computer mediated communication networks, including collective website/product rating and common knowledge base formation [10, 11].

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