Diversification of the Islamic stock market, Bitcoin, and Bullions in response to the Russia-Ukraine conflict and the COVID-19 outbreak

Abstract

This study investigates the interconnectedness of the Islamic stock market, Bullion, and Bitcoin as diversifiers for portfolios, exploring their role as hedges and safe havens. The analysis covers the period from January 2015 to December 2022, with a particular focus on the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russia-Ukraine War on the MSCI World Islamic Index, bullions (Gold, Silver, Platinum, Nickel, Palladium, and Aluminium), and Bitcoin, employing a time-varying parameter vector autoregression (TVP-VAR) model. During crisis periods, our findings reveal that the transmission and reception of shocks among these assets varied, with a heightened level of co-movement observed during the pandemic and war periods. These results emphasise the importance of considering the dynamic nature of financial assets' connectedness in asset investment decisions, particularly in times of crisis. Furthermore, the findings suggest that Bullion can serve as a hedge for both Bitcoin and the Islamic stock market. The study also explores the optimal diversification of investment portfolios and highlights the importance of adhering to Islamic principles in portfolio diversification. By integrating Islamic rules into the diversification process, investors can enhance the effectiveness and relevance of their investment strategies.