Diverging destinies: changing trends of induced abortion in China

Abstract

In the era of the second demographic transition, “diverging destinies” theory states that women with the most economic opportunities often obtain gains while women with the least economic opportunities suffer from losses. Using nationally representative data from the 2017 China Fertility Survey, we attempted to examine if diverging destinies theory can explain differences in the incidence of induced abortion among women with differing economic opportunities. We found that women with good economic opportunities (i.e., well-educated and holding urban hukou) were more likely to have induced abortions between 1980 and 2010 and less likely to do so between 2015 and 2017. Moreover, younger cohorts were far more likely to have induced abortions at a younger age and before marriage. These findings provide supportive evidence for diverging destinies in induced abortion scenarios in China. We thus advocate that sexual and reproductive health policy making shows an overarching concern for the interests of disadvantaged groups.