Abstract

The Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis (IDH) is well-known in ecology providing an explanation for the role of disturbance in the coexistence of climax and colonist species. Here, we used the IDH as a framework to describe the role of forest disturbance in shaping the mosquito community structure, and to identify the ecological processes that increase the emergence of vector-borne disease. Mosquitoes were collected in central Panama at immature stages along linear transects in colonising, mixed and climax forest habitats, representing different levels of disturbance. Species were identified taxonomically and classified into functional categories (i.e., colonist, climax, disturbance-generalist, and rare). Using the Huisman-Olff-Fresco multi-model selection approach, IDH testing was done. We did not detect a unimodal relationship between species diversity and forest disturbance expected under the IDH; instead diversity peaked in old-growth forests. Habitat complexity and constraints are two mechanisms proposed to explain this alternative postulate. Moreover, colonist mosquito species were more likely to be involved in or capable of pathogen transmission than climax species. Vector species occurrence decreased notably in undisturbed forest settings. Old-growth forest conservation in tropical rainforests is therefore a highly-recommended solution for preventing new outbreaks of arboviral and parasitic diseases in anthropic environments.

Highlights

  • The intermediate disturbance hypothesis (IDH) is one of the most influential and well-known non-equilibrium hypotheses in ecology, providing an explanation for the role of disturbance in the coexistence of climax and colonist species[1]

  • Thenceforth, as an alternative to the Intermediate Disturbance Hypothesis (IDH) proposal, we posit that species diversity will peak at climax forest scenarios, provided that old-growth forest habitats harbour a larger variety of larval habitats plus optimal conditions of water temperature and pH for the interaction of a larger number of species

  • As a proposition to define the role of forest disturbance on vector-borne disease emergence, we posit that climax and colonist species vary in abundance and somewhat replace each other across a gradient of forest disturbance, such that within-functional group response to disturbance is more similar than between-functional group response

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Summary

Introduction

The intermediate disturbance hypothesis (IDH) is one of the most influential and well-known non-equilibrium hypotheses in ecology, providing an explanation for the role of disturbance in the coexistence of climax and colonist species[1]. We hypothesise that mosquito species diversity will peak at intermediate levels of forest disturbance, following IDH (Fig. 1a) This pattern is expected due to an overlap of optimal habitat conditions for both colonist (Fig. 1b) and climax mosquito species (Fig. 1c) in the middle of the disturbance gradient[1]. We suggest that forest disturbance has a positive effect on the abundance of colonist mosquito species, because it opens opportunities in terms of larval habitat availability and conditions for this group to thrive in altered forest sites We link these expectations to the ecological processes that might increase the risk of vector-borne disease emergence, as most colonist mosquito species are likely involved in or are capable of pathogen transmission

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