District-wise evaluation of meteorological factors and outdoor thermal comfort in India using UTCI – Insight into future climatic scenario

Abstract

The study aims to comprehensively analyze outdoor meteorological conditions and thermal comfort across 592 districts in India, addressing the critical issues of thermal comfort which significantly impacts health, well-being and productivity. Given the anticipated global warming, understanding these factors becomes crucial, particularly for low-income populations who spend considerable time outdoors. While most previous studies in India have focused on indoor environments or on broad climatic regions, our research provides a granular analysis at the district level, incorporating future climate scenarios from 2050 to 2080. Using the Universal Thermal Climate Index (UTCI), our findings reveal that the northwestern part of India experiences ‘Strong’ to ‘Extreme’ heat stress, with temperatures exceeding 50 °C, while the Himalayan regions face ‘Strong’ cold stress, with temperatures dropping below -20 °C. The geographical distribution of UTCI classes shows that the western and central regions suffer from high thermal stress during summer afternoons, whereas coastal areas, benefiting from higher relative humidity and wind speeds, exhibit moderate UTCI values. The Himalayan regions consistently present lower UTCI values, indicating colder conditions. We have developed a district-wise climate atlas of India, mapping key environmental parameters and the outdoor thermal stress of UTCI values. The main objective of this study is to provide localized insights into how climate change will affect outdoor thermal comfort, facilitating informed decision-making for public health planning, energy infrastructure, and climate adaptation strategies across India.