Distributed Assessment of the Risk of Exceeding the Project Deadlines and Recommendations for Improving its Sustainability

Abstract

The article discusses the problem of exceeding the planned deadlines for the implementation of investment projects and ensuring their sustainability at the stage of project preparation using digital risk management technologies. The risk of exceeding the project deadlines is considered as a consequence of the influence of uncertainty of the initial data, the duration of the project implementation and its individual stages, the resources used, conditions, assumptions and restrictions on the project objectives associated with its implementation within the deadlines established by the project schedule. Risk factors were identifi ed and a digital method of distributed assessment of the risk of exceeding the project deadlines was considered, including its soft ware implementation in the Microsoft Project environment. On the example of a real project for the reconstruction of a unique object — the Felix Chopin Mansion in St. Petersburg, a computational experiment was carried out and new possibilities for building a risk profile and digital visualization of managing the risk of exceeding the project deadlines are shown.