Abstract
The objective of the paper was to understand the impact of sub regional economic cooperation, known as the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT), on trade sector in Indonesia. The approach of research based on export macro information by provinces and commodities. The method used in the analytical framework was a fixed effect method. The regional study covered Nanggroe Aceh Darussalam, North Sumatera, West Sumatera, and Riau provinces, and the commodities involved CPO, coffee and rubber, with 1990-2008 data series. Based on pooled regression, there was a significant impact on export from the four provinces to Malaysia and Thailand for all based years. One might focus on commodity level that, in fact, CPO was the only one commodity that had a significant impact within the IMTGT region. In addition, Thai Bath and Malaysian Ringgit, with respect to GDP for both countries, had significant influenced on export, especially after the IMT-GT endorsed.
Highlights
Abstrak: Tujuan penelitian ini untuk memahami dampak kerja sama ekonomi subregional, yang dikenal sebagai Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT), pada sektor perdagangan di Indonesia
The objective of the paper was to understand the impact of sub regional economic cooperation, known as the Indonesia-Malaysia-Thailand Growth Triangle (IMT-GT), on trade sector in Indonesia
There was a significant impact on export from the four provinces to Malaysia and Thailand for all based years
Summary
Guna mem’bongkar’ permasalahan dan mencapai tujuan studi digunakan pendekatan beberapa uji statistik yang relevan, antara lain: (1) Uji Beda Rata-rata dan (2) Analisis Regresi Data Panel. Uji Beda Rata-rata digunakan untuk merujuk pada perbedaan pengaruh sebelum dan setelah diberlakukannya penetapan KESR, khususnya IMT-GT (Indonesia, Malaysia and Thailand Growth Triangle). Untuk mengetahui pengaruh sebelum dan sesudah IMT-GT baik pada nilai ekspor NAD, Sumatera Utara, Sumatera Barat, dan Riau baik secara agregatif maupun menurut komoditas CPO, kopi, dan karet, digunakan uji tanda dan uji peringkat Wilcoxon-Mann-Whitney (statistik WMW). Sumber: BPS, Statistik Indonesia 1990-2008, diolah Gambar 3. Untuk mengetahui pengaruh sebelum dan sesudah IMT-GT pada nilai nilai ekspor NAD, Sumatera Utara, Sumatera Barat, dan Riau, baik secara agregatif maupun menurut komoditas CPO, kopi, dan karet, beserta faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya, dipergunakan analisis regresi data panel. Asumsi standar yang digunakan dalam studi empiris menyatakan, bahwa E it konstan untuk semua i dan t kecuali
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