Abstract

Negative distance-dependence of conspecific seedling mortality (NDisDM) is a crucial stabilizing force that regulates plant diversity, but it remains unclear whether and how fragment size shifts the strength of NDisDM. Here, we surveyed the seed‒seedling transition process for a total of 25,500 seeds of a local dominant tree species on islands of various sizes in a reservoir and on the nearby mainland. We found significant NDisDM on the mainland and large and medium islands, with significantly stronger NDisDM on medium islands. However, positive distance-dependent mortality was detected on small islands. Changes in distance-dependence were critically driven by both rodent attack and pathogen infestation, which were significantly affected by fragment size. Our results emphasize the necessity of incorporating the effects of fragment size on distance-dependent regeneration of dominant plant species into the existing frameworks for better predicting the consequences of habitat fragmentation.

Highlights

  • Negative distance-dependence of conspecific seedling mortality (NDisDM) is a crucial stabilizing force that regulates plant diversity, but it remains unclear whether and how fragment size shifts the strength of NDisDM

  • Our results suggest the role of fragment size in shaping the spatial distribution of other local dominant plants

  • We identified islands on which C. sclerophylla are the dominant tree species and categorized them into large (875 ha), medium (13‒51 ha) and small (1.1‒3.9 ha) islands within a reservoir, the Thousand-Island Lake (TIL), and the surrounding mainland (>300 ha) (Fig. 1a)

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Summary

Introduction

Negative distance-dependence of conspecific seedling mortality (NDisDM) is a crucial stabilizing force that regulates plant diversity, but it remains unclear whether and how fragment size shifts the strength of NDisDM. The Janzen‒Connell hypothesis proposes that offspring mortality of a plant species will increase with decreased distance to its conspecific adults because its natural enemies tend to occur at high density in the vicinity of the adults, leading to a commonly expected negative distance-dependent pattern of mortality in the transition from seed to seedling[1,2]. Edge effects are strengthened with decreasing fragment size, turning most areas in small habitat fragments into edge zones, where seeds and seedlings of plants adapting to the interior environments in forests may suffer dramatically high mortality due to the deteriorated environment[15,23] Such high seed/seedling mortality mirrors the failed regeneration of these plants when their propagules are dispersed over long distances, weakening the strength of NDisDM and probably even resulting in a shift from NDisDM to positive distancedependence (PDisDM) of mortality. Despite these potential effects of fragment size on NDisDM and the large variation of NDisDM strength among studies, few studies have tested the relationship between fragment size and NDisDM strength

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