Abstract

We investigated the landscape epidemiology of a globally distributed mammal, the wild pig (Sus scrofa), in Florida (U.S.), where it is considered an invasive species and reservoir to pathogens that impact the health of people, domestic animals, and wildlife. Specifically, we tested the hypothesis that two commonly cited factors in disease transmission, connectivity among populations and abundant resources, would increase the likelihood of exposure to both pseudorabies virus (PrV) and Brucella spp. (bacterial agent of brucellosis) in wild pigs across the Kissimmee Valley of Florida. Using DNA from 348 wild pigs and sera from 320 individuals at 24 sites, we employed population genetic techniques to infer individual dispersal, and an Akaike information criterion framework to compare candidate logistic regression models that incorporated both dispersal and land cover composition. Our findings suggested that recent dispersal conferred higher odds of exposure to PrV, but not Brucella spp., among wild pigs throughout the Kissimmee Valley region. Odds of exposure also increased in association with agriculture and open canopy pine, prairie, and scrub habitats, likely because of highly localized resources within those land cover types. Because the effect of open canopy on PrV exposure reversed when agricultural cover was available, we suggest that small-scale resource distribution may be more important than overall resource abundance. Our results underscore the importance of studying and managing disease dynamics through multiple processes and spatial scales, particularly for non-native pathogens that threaten wildlife conservation, economy, and public health.

Highlights

  • Host ecology is a major contributing factor to the patterns of pathogen emergence across a landscape

  • We found significant mean posterior proportion of individuals that migrated between one site and 15 other adjacent sampling sites throughout the Kissimmee Valley

  • For locations that had significant migration rates between them and location 17, we identified 130 of 156 wild pigs that exhibited a probability > 0.9 to be either first or second-generation immigrant from a source location different than the sampling location

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Summary

Introduction

Host ecology is a major contributing factor to the patterns of pathogen emergence across a landscape. As infected hosts disperse across the landscape, they affect the rate of pathogen spread, spatial distribution of infection, and the likelihood of new exposures (Cullingham et al 2008). Because patterns of host dispersal influence that of pathogens, the identification of environmental variables that influence host movement contribute to spatial distribution and occurrence of disease agents, vectors, and reservoirs (Ostfeld and LoGiudice 2003; Collinge et al 2005; Storm et al 2013; McAlpine et al 2017), and determine pathogen exposure (Langlois et al 2001; Riley 2007; Cullingham et al 2008; Biek and Real 2010; Meentemeyer et al 2012). Identifying land cover features correlated with the distribution of invasive species carrying non-native pathogens may facilitate protection of both biodiversity and human health via habitat and land use management

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