Abstract

Low-carbon retrofit of heating systems in existing urban residential areas is one of the most critical approaches to achieving China's 2030 carbon peak and 2060 carbon–neutral goals. This paper proposes heat source classification technologies and heating evaluation indexes for heating system renovation, considering the optimization of energy structure and the demand for carbon trading. Most importantly, a decision-making method based on Entropy Weight TOPSIS applicable to the selection of heat supply schemes for a hypothetical 2 square kilometers urban settlement in Beijing is suggested in this paper. The results show that the electric heating utilization rate has the highest weight coefficient, followed by carbon trading revenue, heat storage utilization rate, and thermal heating utilization rate. Furthermore, geothermal cascade utilization is considered the optimal heating retrofit solution for this case. Eventually, the heating renovation route for the settlement level is recommended, which provides a solid foundation for future clean heating developments in China.

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