Abstract

BackgroundPicea chihuahuana, which is endemic to Mexico, is currently listed as “Endangered” on the Red List. Chihuahua spruce is only found in the Sierra Madre Occidental (SMO), Mexico. About 42,600 individuals are distributed in forty populations. These populations are fragmented and can be classified into three geographically distinct clusters in the SMO. The total area covered by P. chihuahuana populations is less than 300 ha. A recent study suggested assisted migration as an alternative to the ex situ conservation of P. chihuahuana, taking into consideration the genetic structure and diversity of the populations and the predictions regarding the future climate of the habitat. However, detailed background information is required to enable development of plans for protecting and conserving species and for successful assisted migration. Thus, it is important to identify differences between populations in relation to environmental conditions. The genetic diversity of populations, which affect vigor, evolution and adaptability of the species, must also be considered. In this study, we examined 14 populations of P. chihuahuana, with the overall aim of discriminating the populations and form clusters of this species.MethodsEach population was represented by one 50 × 50 m plot established in the center of its respective location. Climate, soil, dasometric, density variables and genetic and species diversities were assessed in these plots for further analyses. The putatively neutral and adaptive AFLP markers were used to calculate genetic diversity. Affinity Propagation (AP) clustering technique and k-means clustering algorithm were used to classify the populations in the optimal number of clusters. Later stepwise binomial logistic regression was applied to test for significant differences in variables of the southern and northern P. chihuahuana populations. Spearman’s correlation test was used to analyze the relationships among all variables studied.ResultsThe binomial logistic regression analysis revealed that seven climate variables, the geographical longitude and sand proportion in the soil separated the southern from northern populations. The northern populations grow in more arid and continental conditions and on soils with lower sand proportion. The mean genetic diversity using all AFLP studied of P. chihuahuana was significantly correlated with the mean temperature in the warmest month, where warmer temperatures are associated to larger genetic diversity. Genetic diversity of P. chihuahuana calculated with putatively adaptive AFLP was not statistically significantly correlated with any environmental factor.DiscussionFuture reforestation programs should take into account that at least two different groups (the northern and southern cluster) of P. chihuahuana exist, as local adaptation takes place because of different environmental conditions.

Highlights

  • Picea chihuahuana Mtz. (Chihuahua spruce), which is endemic to Mexico, is currently listed as ‘‘Endangered’’ on the Red List of the International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN, 2013) and in the official Mexican normativity on endangered species (NOM-059-SEMARNAT-2010) (SEMARNAT, 2010)

  • The Affinity Propagation clustering technique and the k-means clustering algorithm recommended two clusters based on the 74 predictor variables; the same grouping was found by using only the 22 climate variables under study (Fig. 2)

  • A cluster analyses was applied with respect to the 27 soil variables, six genetic diversity indices, three species diversity indices and 14 dasometric variables, but patterns related to the geographical coordinates were not found

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Summary

Introduction

Picea chihuahuana Mtz. (Chihuahua spruce), which is endemic to Mexico, is currently listed as ‘‘Endangered’’ on the Red List of the International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN, 2013) and in the official Mexican normativity on endangered species (NOM-059-SEMARNAT-2010) (SEMARNAT, 2010). (Chihuahua spruce), which is endemic to Mexico, is currently listed as ‘‘Endangered’’ on the Red List of the International Union for the Conservation of Nature and Natural Resources (IUCN, 2013) and in the official Mexican normativity on endangered species (NOM-059-SEMARNAT-2010) (SEMARNAT, 2010). This tree species grows at elevations between 2,150 and 2,990 m in areas with mean annual temperatures of 9−12 ◦C and precipitation ranging from around 600 to 1,300 mm (provenance’s climate inferred from Sáenz-Romero et al, 2010). The mean genetic diversity using all AFLP studied of P. chihuahuana was significantly correlated with the mean temperature in the warmest month, where warmer temperatures are associated to larger genetic

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