Discrete-Time Markov Chain Model for Transport of Mixed-Size Sediment Particles under Unsteady Flow Conditions

Abstract

AbstractA nonhomogeneous discrete-time three-state Markov chain model is developed in this study to quantify the bedload and suspended load discharge under unsteady flow for mixed size sediment particles. When flow is subject to sudden changes, the particle holding time, defined as the amount of time for a sediment particle staying on the bed or in the moving state, needs to be carefully evaluated. The time step used in this study for single-step motion in the discrete-time Markov chain is represented by a characteristic timescale for particle motion. The transition probabilities are functions of flow conditions and particle properties. Specifically, the likelihood of particle movement between the bedload layer and the bed surface is evaluated by the entrainment probability. Exchange of sediment particles between the bedload layer and suspended load layer is quantified by the suspension probability. A nonhomogeneous Markov chain ensures the transition probabilities are time dependent as they are a functio...