Direct annual healthcare costs in survivors of acute pulmonary embolism: estimates based on a prospective multicentre cohort study

Abstract

Abstract Background Patients surviving acute pulmonary embolism (PE) necessitate long-term care and follow-up. However, the economic impact of PE on healthcare systems after the acute event remains largely unknown. Purpose To estimate the direct cost of PE during the first year after discharge from hospital for the index event, focusing on rehospitalizations, anticoagulant medication, and outpatient follow-up. Methods We analyzed the data from a multicentre cohort study of 1017 unselected patients with confirmed acute symptomatic PE in Germany. After the index episode, the costs of which were not considered, patients prospectively followed an outpatient visit plan at 3, 12 and 24 months. All rehospitalisations were documented with the main and accompanying diagnoses; hospital costs were calculated based on current reimbursement in the German Diagnosis Research Groups (G-DRG) system. The duration and type (central unique drug identifier) of anticoagulant treatment was documented at each visit. Per-patient costs of ambulatory follow-up visits and tests were calculated by multiplying (i) the costs of each visit/test (German ambulatory healthcare services reimbursement catalogue) by (ii) the probability π (0.0≤π≤1.0) of needing that specific service, based on the PE follow-up algorithm of the ESC Guidelines which we populated with the actual results per step in the present study (Figure). The primary analysis was conducted in all patients with ≥3-month follow-up. An additional sensitivity analysis included only the patients completing ≥12-month follow-up. We additionally identified the baseline predictors for the number of rehospitalizations and costs using multivariable zero-inflated Poisson and hurdle regression and accounting for censored data. Results Of 1017 enrolled patients, 958 (94%) were included in the primary analysis. Of them, 24% were rehospitalized, for a marginal mean of 0.34 (bootstrapped 95% CI: 0.30-0.39) readmissions per PE survivor. Age, coronary artery, pulmonary and kidney disease, diabetes, and (in the sensitivity analysis) cancer, emerged as independent cost predictors by multivariable hurdle gamma regression (Table). Estimated overall rehospitalisation costs were €1138 (95% CI 896-1420) per patient (€1171 [908-1479] in the sensitivity analysis). Mean anticoagulation duration was 330 days, with estimated per-patient costs of €1050 (€1190 in the sensitivity analysis). Per-patient costs of ambulatory follow-up visits and tests were estimated at €182, yielding a total cost of illness per PE survivor of €2370-2543. For the entire country, the annual direct costs after acute PE would thus amount to €202-217 million. Conclusions By estimating per-patient costs and identifying major cost drivers of post-PE care, the present study may inform decisions concerning implementation and reimbursement of follow-up programmes aiming at improved overall cardiovascular prevention.TableFigure