Abstract

Urbanization affects vegetation distribution by changing land cover. However, it also significantly changes urban water and heat conditions, affecting vegetation growth and development. Vegetation coverage is an effective indicator of vegetation growth. This study analyzed trends in vegetation coverage over the past 35 years, taking the Yunnan Central Urban Economic Circle as the study area. The study was based on applying the pixel dichotomy model and correlation statistical analysis on joint Landsat 5, 7, and 8 long- term remote sensing data, meteorological, and land use data. The direct and indirect effects of urbanization on vegetation coverage were also further explored by constructing an urbanization impact framework. The results revealed that: (1) The urban area during urbanization from 1986 to 2021 increased by 720.29 km2. There was a continuous decline in vegetation cover in and around urban areas, which intensified with accelerating urbanization, with the effect being more pronounced in suburban areas. (2) There were consistent increasing trends in urbanization’s direct and indirect effects on vegetation over the last 35 years, with average negative and positive effects of − 0.41 and 1.59, respectively. (3) Direct effects could mainly be attributed to the expansion of impervious surfaces, whereas the main indirect effect during the late urbanization period (2011–2020) was increasing average temperature. The average temperature showed a correlation coefficient with urbanization of 0.7767, and this relationship showed seasonal heterogeneity due to the significant growth of urban vegetation in summer and winter. (4) Cities that developed faster showed better environmental planning and construction. The direct and indirect effects of urbanization on vegetation during the early and middle stages were higher in cities developing at slow and moderate rates, with this trend reversing only in the later stages of urbanization. The results of this study can increase understanding of the effect of urbanization on vegetation coverage in the Yunnan Central Urban Economic Circle. They can assist in improving urban green spaces and urban ecological resilience.

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